CCER讨论稿:Solo, Chorus or Mix, BRI in Thucydides’s Dilemma

E20180242018-11-12FuJunIntroductionThisarticlediscussesChina’sOneBeltOneRoadInitiative(BRI),thedivergentviewsofit,ormanceinthepastfiveyears,includingespeciallythefinancingaspect,,asbotharisingpowerandanovelplayerintheinternationalinvestmentarena,Chinafacesdauntingchallengesahead,thenatureofwhichismoregeopoliticst“revisionist”(ratherthanintegrationist)threatof“illiberalism”againsttheliberalpost-WWIIinternationalarchitecture,“re-set”fromitspreviouspolicyofengagementwithChinatoaloomingstrategyofcompetition+containment(whereoperationallyfeasible).Theoretically,itreflectsareturnfromliberalismtoaparticularstrandofrealism--offensive(ratherthandefensive)realismtobespecific--asevidencedinpartbyTrumpadministration’s“AmericaFirst”’sdilemmawiththedangerofself-fulfillingprophecy,,,topredictistoprevent;andhopefullyrationalismwillprevailwiththebenefitofhistoryandtheoreticalhindsight,,,PartIV,providesthetheoreticallenses–offensiverealisminparticular--throughwhichonecanbetterunderstandthenatureofthecurrentglobalsystem,theriskorchallengeassociatedwithsystemicpowertransition,andinthislargecontext,whyBRIhasbeen,forthosewhoarealreadyfamiliarwithBRIperse,butareinterestedintheriskfactor,includinggeopolitics,theymaywanttoskippartsIandII,andgostraighttopartsIIIandIV.讨论稿下载:。

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